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      • 您當前的位置: 首頁-資訊-詳情

        環(huán)球精選!Decoding China's economic recovery at "two sessions"

        2023-03-09 11:07:20來源:Xinhua

        Whilearecessionriskstillhangsovertheglobaleconomy,theongoing"twosessions"inChinareassuredinvestorsandbusinessesthattheworld"ssecond-largesteconomyisbouncingbackfromCOVID-19shocksandwillcontinuetoserveasastronggrowthdriverfortheglobe.

        OnSunday,anarrayofmuch-anticipatedeconomictargetsfor2023wereunveiledinagovernmentworkreport,whichisdeliberatedanddiscussedbynationallegislatorsandpoliticaladvisorswhoaregatheringherefortheirannualmeetings,alsoknownasthe"twosessions."


        (資料圖)

        Accordingtothereport,thecountry"sgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)isprojectedtoexpandbyaround5percentyearonyear.Othertargetsincludeabout12millionnewurbanjobsandaconsumerpriceincreaseofabout3percent.

        Aftertheslower3-percenteconomicgrowthrecordedlastyear,thereboundenvisionedinthereport,alongwithaseriesofpro-growthmeasuresfromexpandingdomesticdemandtomodernizingtheindustrialsystemandattractingforeigninvestment,offeredafreshshotofconfidenceintheresilienceandprospectsoftheChineseeconomy.

        Chinahastheabilitytomeetitsgrowthtarget,saideconomistYuMiaojie,presidentofLiaoningUniversityandanationallegislator,notingthatbusinessactivitiesandpeople"sliveshavebeenreturningtonormalcyswiftlyandthatdomesticgrowthmomentumhasbeengatheringsteamsincethebeginningoftheyear.

        "ForabigdevelopingcountrylikeChina,high-qualitydevelopmentrequiresanadequategrowthrate,andweneedtopromoteafulleconomicrecoveryasquicklyaspossible,"saidLiuShangxi,headoftheChineseAcademyofFiscalSciencesandanationalpoliticaladvisor.

        Infact,therehavebeenincreasingsignsthattheeconomyisroaringback,asprovedbyhummingmachinesinfactoriesandthereappearinghustleandbustleattouristattractions.

        Thepurchasingmanagers"indexforChina"smanufacturingsectorcameinat52.6inFebruary,risingfortwoconsecutivemonthsandmarkingthestrongestlevelsinceApril2012.Asevidenceofimprovingconsumersentiment,tourismrevenuessurged30percentyearonyearandcinemasnationwidereportedthesecond-highestboxofficefigureonrecordduringtheweek-longSpringFestivalholidayinJanuary.Morecitieswitnessedmonth-on-monthincreasesinhomepricesinJanuary,indicatingastabilizingpropertymarket.

        ACNNreportquotedJulianEvans-Pritchard,headofChinaeconomicsatCapitalEconomics,assayingthatChina"slatest"exceptionallystrong"dataconfirmeda"veryrapidrebound"ineconomicactivity.Giventhequickturnaround,theexpertbelieveshisfirm"s5.5percentgrowthforecastforChinathisyearmaybetooconservative.

        Reachingthesegoalsisnoeasytask.Despitetheupwardtrend,Sunday"sgovernmentworkreportwarnedofexternalchallengesfromlingeringhighinflationandweakeningeconomicandtradegrowthglobally,andsaidthefoundationforstablegrowthathomealsoneedstobeconsolidated.

        Tobravechallenges,aspateofpro-growthpolicieswereannouncedinthereport,includinga3-percentdeficit-to-GDPratio,aprioritygiventotherecoveryandexpansionofconsumption,3.8trillionyuan(about550billionU.S.dollars)ofspecial-purposelocalgovernmentbonds,andcontinuedtaxandfeecutstorelievetheburdensforbusinesses.

        Thenewmeasuresstruckchordsamonglawmakersandpoliticaladvisorsparticipatinginthe"twosessions."

        Maintainingthenecessarygovernmentspendingintensitywillhelppromotefulleconomicrecovery,saidZhangLianqi,vicechairmanoftheChineseTaxInstituteandanationalpoliticaladvisor.WangChanglin,presidentoftheAcademyofMacroeconomicResearchandanationalpoliticaladvisor,stressedtheneedtoletconsumptionrecoverandreemergeasthemaineconomicdriver.

        LiXiehua,presidentofChinalcoAdvancedManufacturingCo.,Ltd.andanationallegislator,saidhisbusinesshasbenefitedgreatlyfromfavorablepoliciesoverthepastyearsandafterreadingthenewones,heisreassuredandmoreconfident.

        Withgoalsestablishedandsolidactionsinthepipeline,thepromisingpictureoftheChineseeconomypaintedduringthe"twosessions"wasechoedacrosstheworld.

        RemarkingontheheadlineGDPtarget,KevinKang,KPMGChina"schiefeconomist,saiditismuchstrongerthanmostoftheworld"smajoreconomiesandbelievesChinawillovershootthetargetbyrecordinga5.7percentgrowthrate.

        Chinawillcontinuetobeoneofthemajorcountriestoseethestrongestgrowththisyear,anditscontributiontoglobaleconomicgrowthwillstandat30percent,saidStevenBarnett,IMFseniorresidentrepresentativeinChina.

        Mostrecently,ratingagencyMoody"sraiseditsforecastforChina"sgrowthfrom4percentto5percentforboththisyearand2024.

        ChinaistheonlymajoreconomyintheworldontracktoseedecentgrowthinbothcorporateprofitsandGDPin2023,accordingtoareportinthemagazineBarron"s."GivenChina"sappetiteforenergy,autos,andmuchmore,thatisgoodnewsfortheglobaleconomy,anditraisestheoddsthattheworldcanavertarecession,evenastheUnitedStatesandEuropeslow."

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