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        快訊:China poised for strong recovery in 2023, says Morgan Stanley economist

        2023-01-18 19:08:30來源:Xinhua
        ChetanAhya,chiefAsiaeconomistatMorganStanley,saidthatasoundrecoveryoftheworld"ssecond-largesteconomycouldprovideatimelyboosttotheglobaleconomy.

        NEWYORK,Jan.17(Xinhua)--China"seconomyisexpectedtodeliverastrongrecoveryin2023,buoyedbythecountry"soptimizedepidemicresponseandeffectivepro-growthpolicies,aneconomistatMorganStanleyhassaid.

        Mobilityindicatorsacrossthecountry,suchasintracitytrafficandsubwayridership,"havealreadyreboundedmeaningfullyinearly2023,"ChetanAhya,chiefAsiaeconomistatMorganStanley,toldXinhuarecentlyviaemail.

        "Wethinkthiswillhelpsupportahigherlevelofeconomicactivityfromanearlierstartingpoint,supportingGDPgrowththroughouttheyear,"hesaid.


        (相關資料圖)

        Inaresearchnotereleasedlastweek,MorganStanleyraiseditsoutlookforChina"sGDPgrowthin2023from5.4percentto5.7percent,predictingthatareboundinactivitywillcomeearlierandbesharperthanexpected.

        TherapidreboundinmobilityandthealignmentofCOVID-19management,economicandregulatorypolicytopromotegrowtharetwomajorreasonsfortheupwardrevisionoftheforecast,saidAhya.

        HesaidthatChinahaspledgedtosynergizeitsfiscalandmonetarypolicieswithitsCOVID-19responseshifttofacilitategrowthrecovery,addingthat"regulatorypolicyhasalsoturnedmoreconducivetoanchoringmarketexpectations."

        Moreover,theannualCentralEconomicWorkConferenceaffirmedcommensuratesupportforbothstate-ownedandprivateenterprises,continuedtheMorganStanleyeconomist.

        "Thisbackdropshouldsupportbothastrongerpolicypass-throughandprivatesectorconfidence,allowingastronggrowthrecoverytotakeholdin2023,"Ahyanoted.

        Hesaidthatacomebackinprivateconsumption,especiallyservicesconsumption,willbeacrucialdriverforgrowth.

        TheeconomistexpectedChina"srealhouseholdconsumptiongrowthtobeliftedto8.5percentin2023andanimprovementininvestment,includingthepropertysector,withpolicysupport.

        Ahyaalsosaidthatasoundrecoveryoftheworld"ssecond-largesteconomycouldprovideatimelyboosttotheglobaleconomy.

        "China"scounter-trendrecoveryshouldprovideanuplifttoaggregatedemandaroundtheworld,withthestrongestpositivespillovereffectstotherestofAsiaandEurope,"saidAhya.

        標簽: withthestrongestpositivespillovereffectstotherestofAsiaandEurope Xinhua hesaid

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